Skip to content


Footnotes: Telecommunications Predictions 2009

1 An open operating system is one that allows the user to download and install applications developed by third parties.
2 Apple's iPhone the best-selling phone in US, beats Motorola's Razr, Silicon Alley Insider, 10 November 2008.
3 Smart phone 13% of total market says Canalys, Wireless and Mobile News, 7 November 2008.
4 Are global smart phone sales poised to take off? Seeking Alpha, 9 September 2008.
5 2nd update: AT&T 3Q Net Up; EPS hurt by iPhone subsidies, Nasdaq, 22 October 2008.
6 Orange is keen to follow O2's handset subsidy cuts, Mobile Monday, 7 July 2008.
7 Smart phones confuse a fifth of new users, Smartphone.biz, 15 September 2008.
8 Barclays whacks Christmas iPhone sales estimate, Silicon Alley Insider, 7 November 2008.
9 Smart phones gobbling up ever more market share, Venture Beat, 10 September 2008.
10 Mobile telephone providers gearing up for battle, Credit Suisse, 8 September 2008.
11 The diverse and exploding digital universe, IDC, March 2008.
12 For discussion on the role of the CIO, see: Realizing value from a CIO: navigating the silicon ceiling, Deloitte MCS and Cranfield University, November 2008.
13 US household debt: a frightening picture, Seeking Alpha, 26 August 2008.
14 iPhone and SIM only deals give O2 best ever quarter, The Daily Telegraph, 14 November 2008.
15 The CIO's role is to exploit the value of information, through its capture and analysis, and through formulating strategies that reflect a company's information assets.
16 What makes a good CIO? ZDNet, 27 October 2008.
17 Interim CIOs are on the rise, CIO.com, 17 July 2008.
18 Garda chief asks mobile phone chief to retain Web browsing data, Irish Times, 6 November 2008; Examples of data retention rules in different countries, ICT regulation toolkit, ITU: http://www.ictregulationtoolkit.org
19 For discussion on information overload, see for example: Personal computing: interruption overload, Government Technology, 20 November 2008; The Grill, MIT's Jo Anne Yates on information overload, ComputerWorld, 16 November 2008.
20 Spam volume rose to 150 billion messages a day in Q2 2008, Spam Fighter, 2 September 2008.
21 From information overload to communication overload, The Register, 10 May 2007.
22 Tech firms act to counter 'information overload', The Times, 16 July 2008.
23 Taming the growth of email: An ROI analysis, The Radicati Group/Hewlett Packard. See: https://h30046.www3.hp.com
24 Office email 'wastes time', The Daily Telegraph, 11 March 2008.
25 InternetSafety reveals where workers waste time on the Web, Atlanta Business Chronicle, 8 July 2008.
26 Online social networking costs £6.5 billion in lost productivity and open security risk, The British Journal of Healthcare Computing & Information Management,13 February 2008.
27 Taming the growth of email: An ROI analysis, The Radicati Group/Hewlett Packard. See: https://h30046.www3.hp.com
28 Tech firms act to counter 'information overload', The Times, 16 June 2008.
29 http://abcnews.go.com; http://www.usatoday.com; http://www.npr.org; http://news.bbc.co.uk
30 Email overload costs organizations over $5,000 per user per year, Fort Docs, March 2007.
31 Time-wasting staff given a slap in the Facebook, The Times, 28 July 2007.
32 Companies warm up to social networks, Christian Science Monitor, 8 September 2008.
33 Why most online communities fail, Wall Street Journal, 16 July 2008 (based on a study by Deloitte).
34 Mobile phone operators shun Google's search to find partners for its software, The Times, 6 November 2008.
35 UK mobile operators need to abandon 'walled garden' approach, Telecommunications, 30 July 2008.
36 App stores shift power balance in mobile market, CNET News, 21 October 2008.
37 App stores shift power balance in mobile market, CNET News, 21 October 2008; Apple App Store hits one billion downloads by MacWorld Expo 2009? The Industry Standard, 10 July 2008.
38 3 opens Getjar-powered 'App Store', Mobile Entertainment, 30 September 2008.
39 App stores shift power balance in mobile market, CNET News, 21 October 2008.
40 Ibid.
41 SMS dominates UK mobile data usage, vnunet, 29 July 2008.
42 Snap! Camera phones keep getting better, The Guardian, 6 November 2008.
43 CMOS image sensor market heads downhill, EE Times, 30 August 2007. Flash memory prices to plummet, analysts say, Info World, 21February 2008.
44 Snap! Camera phones keep getting better, The Guardian, 6 November 2008.
45 Ibid.
46 Ibid.
47 Can mobile phones replace MP3 players? Ezinearticles, 29 January 2008.
48 For example, see: http://www.gsmarena.com
49 Snap! Camera phones keep getting better, The Guardian, 6 November 2008.
50 Report: Music phone shipments top MP3 players, Fierce Mobile, 25 March 2008.
51 Music biz hopes device upgrades boost mobile sector, Ringtonia, 12 May 2008.
52 See: http://www.cellular.co.za
53 For more information, see: How Infrared Technology Works: http://www.smartcomputing.com
54 For more information, see: How Bluetooth Technology works: http://www.mobileinfo.com
55 Bluetooth takes steps forward, Comms Design, September 2000.
56 Cell phone chip stocks decline, Cell Phone News, 5 November 2008.
57 Wireless technology, particularly Bluetooth, has been integrated into a variety of wearable products including jackets, motorcycle helmets and sunglasses. See: 2008 marks 10 years of Bluetooth wireless technology, Reuters, 7 January 2008; Newer technologies such as Low Energy Bluetooth may allow for more widespread integration of connectivity, as standby time can theoretically be measurable in years. See: Bluetooth demo proves low-energy technology, Electronics Talk, 10 July 2008. Current and potential applications within clothing could include health monitoring, sports performance monitoring, gaming and presence (informing other devices, such as cars, computers or entertainment equipment, that the wearer is nearby, and adapting settings accordingly). For more information, see: Future dress code: very smart, CNN, 26 February 2007.
58 Lenovo, Vodafone and Ericsson bring down cost of integrated laptop mobile broadband, Computer Weekly, 16 July 2008.
59 Mobile calls to be routed via broadband, The Times, 11 February 2008.
60 Global HSPA subscriptions hit 50 million, GSM Association, 22 August 2008.
61 Broadband network infrastructure, Ericsson, 1 April 2008.
62 HSPA Broadband Europe, Berg Insight, 2008. See: http://www.berginsight.com
63 GSMA partners with industry giants on mobile broadband, Mobile Marketer, 3 October 2008.
64 The mobile broadband boom heralds changes in the UK mobile market, Analysys Mason, 19 August 2008.
65 Beating the backhaul challenge in mobile, Amdocs, 2008. See: http://amdocs-oss-central.com. There are approaching 2.3 million mobile network masts around the world, and the number of masts is expected to grow by almost an additional one million by the end of 2009, partly because of the additional network density required to provide mobile broadband services on higher frequencies. Two-thirds of cell masts are shared with more than one operator having radio access equipment on them, thus increasing the backhaul requirement of each. Operators are expected to double the capital expenditure on new backhaul infrastructure, typically microwave links, from $14 billion to over $23 billion by 2012. At the same time, fixed backhaul costs - the amount mobile operators pay to fixed operators to carry traffic from cell sites back to their core networks - are expected to rise sharply due to the strong growth in data traffic volume. One estimate suggests that in the United States alone, fixed backhaul costs will rise from around $2 billion in 2006 to over $16 billion by the end of 2009. However, all of this expense is unlikely to be met by rising revenues. Mobile voice and data revenues per connection are expected to remain flat at best, but may even decline due to aggressive price competition in many markets. For more information, see: Covering your backhaul, Telecom Redux, 29 February 2008.
66 Cutting wireless backhaul costs with multiservice switching, Nortel, 2008. See: http://www.nortel.com
67 Cambridge broadband networks spur debate across industry, Comms Business, 29 June 2008.
68 The mobile broadband boom heralds changes in the UK mobile market, Analysys Mason, 19 August 2008.
69 Ibid.
70 Will the 3G iPhone break the network?, Basestation Newsletter, July 2008.
71 H3G H1 2008 Results and datacard economics, Enders Analysis, 2 September 2008.
72 Exchange rate at 26 November 2008, see: www.xe.com
73 The mobile broadband boom heralds changes in the UK mobile market, Analysys Mason, 19 August 2008.
74 T-Mobile recently announced that all of its customers on UK Web'n'walk Pro and Web'n'walk Plus tariffs would have access to the company's network of WiFi hotspots. See: T-Mobile UK bundles free WiFi with Web'n'walk plus and pro plans, Into Mobile, 12 January 2008.
75 Apple has been targeted by a US litigant because the iPhone 3G's marketing claimed the product was 'twice as fast' as its 2G predecessor. See: Class action suit claims Apple deceived over iPhone 3G speeds, Apple Insider, 20 August 2008.
76 Mobile TV is not easy, EE Times India, 11 September 2008.
77 Orange is keen to follow O2's handset subsidy cuts, Mobile Today, 7 August 2008.
78 News Corp chief flags media job cuts, WA Today, 6 November 2008.
79 Downturn to hit mobile spend, poll finds, Mobile Marketing, 30 October 2008.
80 Pre-roll solutions, New Media Age, 23 October 2008.
81 Beijing Olympics draws 4.7 billion television viewers, Deutsche Presse-Agentur, 5 September 2008.
82 For example, research suggests that 436,000 UK mobile phone subscribers watched the opening ceremony of the 2008 Beijing Olympics on their phones. See: Olympics boosts mobile TV, Mobile Marketing, 26 August 2008. However, the total number of UK mobile TV subscribers has fallen since 2006, when it peaked at around 450,000. See: Television is a turnoff for mobile users, The Guardian, 2 August 2007.
83 BBC's mobile TV trial peaks at 580 viewers a day, New Media Age, 28 July 2008.
84 Also see: Ongoing fall in viewer retention overshadows 36% mobile TV growth, Tellabs, 12 February 2008.
85 Based on: An EU Strategy for Mobile TV, Europa, 18 July 2008.
86 Telegent enables free mobile TV access, Total Telecom, 16 July 2008.
87 In the United Kingdom, 50% of customers are happy with 8Mbit/s connections or slower. See: UK fat pipes sluggish from lack of fiber, Silicon.com, 30 September 2008.
88 Based on data from the GSM Association. See: http://www.gsmworld.com
89 European Broadband Matrix Q3 2008, Merrill Lynch, 2 September 2008.
90 For example, see: Intervention is bold, but has a basis in history, The New York Times, 13 October 2008; Is nationalization the answer to banks behaving badly, Financial Times, 13 October 2008; Portugal to nationalize local bank, Financial Times, 8 November 2008.
91 The future of fiber access, Light Reading, 5 November 2008.
92 Ibid.
93 Consumers worldwide getting a better deal on broadband, Point Topic, 5 November 2008.
94 Ibid.
95 Fiber in France, Enders Analysis, February 2008.
96 Ultra-fast Internet is lagging in United Kingdom, Forbes, 28 March 2008.
97 Breaking the backhaul bottleneck, Telecommunications, 10 March 2008.
98 'Fiber to the home' a must-have only government can provide, The Age, 15 August 2008.
99 Ultra-fast Internet is lagging in United Kingdom, Forbes, 28 March 2008.
100 European wireless matrix, Merrill Lynch, 9 April 2008; Currency conversion correct on 15 December 2008 at www.xe.com
101 ETNO reflection document on termination rates, European Telecommunications Network Operators' Association, April 2008.
102 Mobile giants' £80bn nuisance call, The Independent, 27 June 2008; Currency conversion correct on 15 December 2008 at www.xe.com
104 The exact impact of MTR cuts varies by operator, and is linked to market share. Small operators may typically benefit from MTR cuts. For an operator with around 10 percent market share, outbound calls to other mobile networks typically dominate (subscribers making outbound calls to mobile numbers are more likely to call subscribers on other networks). Therefore payments to other mobile operators are normally greater than revenues received. But operators with larger market shares often receive more MTR termination than they pay out, because inbound call volumes are higher than outbound. See: Mobile giants' £80bn nuisance call, The Independent, 27 June 2008.
105 Mobile giants' £80 billion nuisance call, The Independent, 27 June 2008.
106 Ibid.
107 Ibid.
108 Global wireless matrix, Merrill Lynch, 25 September 2008.
109 Telecoms sector shaken by planned EU mobile fee cuts, EurActiv, 27 June 2008.
110 Mobile operators warn EC over termination rate cuts, ZDNet, 1 July 2008.